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Matt Abedi's Sporting Universe

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Posted on: March 28, 2008 2:49 pm
 

Giants Look Like 100 Loss Team

There hasn't been a 100 loss team in the National League since the Diamondbacks lost 111 games back in 2004. However, that may very well change this season as the San Francisco Giants are one team that could eclipse that mark. Owner Peter Magowan recently said that the Giants were "going in a different direction" in 2008 and that "the time has come to turn the page."

Really Peter? Because the only direction I see the team going.....is down.

While general manager Brian Sabean announced last season that the team wouldn't be bringing back Barry Bonds in 2008, there seemed to be a sense of relief in the Bay Area as most Giants fans were ready for change. However, that change never happened this offseason. With the Giants having one of the best starting rotations in their division, Sabean failed to bring in an impact bat that could complement it and help the team win ballgames.

That is, unless Sabean's idea of an impact bat is Aaron Rowand. Rowand signed with the Giants in a 5 year, 60 million dollar deal, in which he won't be worth the majority of the contract. Rowand has been a below average outfielder for much of his career, but set career highs last season in just about every offensive category except stolen bases. He is yet another example of a mediocre player receiving a big paycheck because of a solid performance in a contract year. Much of Rowand's success can be attributed to him playing in one of the National League's best hitters parks and hitting behind superstars Jimmy Rollins, Chase Utley, and Ryan Howard. Playing in a spacious park like San Francisco will not help his cause. To top things off, Rowand was the only offseason addition the Giants made and it isn't saying much, considering he's replacing Barry Bonds in the lineup.

Many Giants fans would have been happy if the team had gone young in 2008, but that remained impossible with the many bad signings that Sabean had made the year before--Roberts, Durham, Aurilia--and the fact that the team has one of the worst farm systems in all of baseball. Aside from Aurilia, who has been a journeyman middle infielder for most of his career and is now 36, the Giants only position player that has come up through there system is first basemen Dan Ortmeier. Most of the Giants top prospects range anywhere from 17-20 years old and won't be able to contribute to the team for at least 3 to four seasons. The one prospect that is ready, Nat Schierholtz, is being blocked by the Giants barage of outfielders. Meanwhile, If the Giants are waiting until all of there old contracts are gone before they start to spend money on an impact bat, then they are wasting away the years that the team will have good starting pitching. The team shouldn't be paying Barry Zito 18 million dollars a season so they can rebuild. They shouldn't be wasting the years that they have Matt Cain and Tim Lincecum under control. They needed to bring in players that could help them win now and Brian Sabean failed to do so.

Going after Andruw Jones or Alex Rodriguez--in which the Giants had the money to do so--would have been the perfect fit for the team. Even if the team couldn't land A-rod, at least Jones would have provided the team with a legitimate home run threat in the middle of the order that is capable of driving players in. As currently assembled, the Giants don't have a single player in their lineup that projects to hit 20 or more home runs. They might very well be one of the worst offensive teams the league has seen in years.

Last season, with Barry Bonds in the lineup, the Giants averaged approximately 4.2 runs per game and with them declining offensively, it makes you wonder just how much that number will decrease this season. My guess is that it will be somewhere around 4 runs a game. If that's the case, the Giants are truly going to be in trouble. Even if Zito, Cain, and Lincecum have era's under 4, the chances of them winning games (with the bullpen not giving up a thing) are extremely thin. Heck, just last season Matt Cain had an era of 3.65, yet his record was 7-16. Nothing is going to change in 2008.

To put things into perspective, in an exhibition game against the Giants AAA affiliate two days ago (the Fresno Grizzlies), the Giants lost 4-3 with Barry Zito on the mound. They followed that up by losing a game in which their team faced the Seattle Mariners split squad 7-2 after Matt Cain gave up 6 runs in just 4 innings pitched. The Mariners were only playing four regulars and the Giants were shut down by rule-5 pick R.A. Dickey. In fact, Dickey only gave up one hit in the five innings he pitched.

The Giants finished last season with a record of just 71-91. So far this spring, the Giants are just 8-21and have failed to win the easiest of matchups. The loss of Barry Bonds, the injury problems with Noah Lowry and Kevin Frandsen, and the failure of management to bring in any type of impact player this season will have the Giants struggling to stay away from the 100 loss mark this season.
Posted on: March 21, 2008 4:57 am
 

2008 Texas Rangers Season Preview

Texas Rangers

2007 Record: 75-87, 4th Place in the AL West
Abedi's 2008 Projection: 74-88, 4th Place in the AL West




Key Additions

Key Departures
Projected Lineup
  1. 2B Ian Kinsler
  2. LF Frank Catalanotto
  3. SS Michael Young
  4. CF Josh Hamilton
  5. DH Milton Bradley
  6. 3B Hank Blalock
  7. RF Marlon Byrd
  8. 1B Ben Broussard
  9. C Gerald Laird
The Rangers made some offensive improvements to their outfield this offseason when they decided to trade for Josh Hamilton and sign Milton Bradley. The team will also be looking forward to a full season of Hank Blalock, who was on pace for his best season as a pro before he got injured last season. However, I won't say the improvements are a significant upgrade. For one, all-star first basemen Mark Teixeira now sports an Atlanta Braves jersey and without Kenny Lofton at the top of the order, the team really lacks speed. On the other hand, it really doesn't have too much power either. Josh Hamilton, if he hits like he did a year ago, is the only Ranger that could hit over 30 home runs. Meanwhile, I'm starting to question Ron Washington's decision making abilities as a manager. For starters, he doesn't know how to field a lineup. For one, he has Hank Blalock, arguably one of the teams best hitters, batting 6th in the order while he has Frank Catalanotto, who had a .337 OBP last season, hitting 2nd. It would make much more sense to move Blalock up to the fourth or 5th spot, put Bradley batting 2nd and move Catalanotto toward the bottom. Secondly, most reports are indicating that the Rangers are leaning towards starting Gerald Laird at catcher. This would mean that Jarrod Saltalamacchia (who is ready for the big leagues) would be sent back to AAA and Adam Melhuse would be carried as the team's backup. Lastly, why on earth Jon Daniel didn't trade Marlon Byrd (whose value was at an all-time high) this off-season is beyond me. At this point last season, opposing GM's wouldn't have traded a box of donuts to acquire Byrd, but after several team showed interest, the fact that the Rangers didn't trade him for prospects is a mistake.

The Bench
At this point in his career, Adam Melhuse has no business being on a major league roster. As for Vazquez, he's never been a good major league player and I'm surprised he still has a role as a backup. The Rangers could do much better here. The one bright spot in the Rangers bench could be outfielder David Murphy. Since coming over in a trade last season, Murphy has shown that he can hit big league pitching very well. Murphy batted .340 in limited at bats last season and has gotten off to a hot start this spring. It wouldn't surprise me if he eventually overtook Frank Catalanotto or Marlon Byrd in the starting lineup later in the season. As for Botts, I'm predicting he'll make the roster over Kevin Mench and Nelson Cruz. For starters, Botts is out of options and Mench has a clause in his contract that forces him to accept a AAA assignment if he doesn't make the big league squad out of spring training. Nelson Cruz is the superior outfield defender, but doesn't really have much of an advantage with the bat and has gotten off to a bad start this spring while Botts also has the capabilities of playing first base. Even though Ron Washington has insisted Broussard will be the everyday first basemen against lefties, something tells me he will come to his sense and platoon him with Botts before long.
The Starting Rotation
  1. RHP Kevin Millwood
  2. RHP Vincente Padilla
  3. RHP Jason Jennings
  4. RHP Brandon McCarthy
  5. LHP Kason Gabbard
Watching the Rangers deal with their pitching problems is like listening to a song on repeat in your cars stereo. It's same old story or the Rangers and nothing has been done this offseason to fix it. The Rangers are the one team in the American League that doesn't have a distinguishable ace at the front of their rotation. All of their pitchers struggled to perform last season and I don't see how it will change too much heading into 2008. In fact the Rangers most effective pitcher last year, Edinson Volquez, was sent away in the trade that netted the team Josh Hamilton. So unless the Rangers intend to out-slug every single team in the league, it will be another disappointing season for them in the AL West.

The Bullpen
Unlike the starting rotation, the Rangers bullpen is actually a sign of hope for the team. Fukumori has looked outstanding this spring and could turn out to be one of the best signings this offseason. A combination of Fukumori and Wilson make a formidable late inning team that the Rangers haven't had since they traded away Francisco Cordero a few years back. Meanwhile, gambling on Guardado wasn't that bad of a risk and Francisco and Littleton should be fine in middle relief roles. The Rangers would have been better off carrying Robinson Tejeda instead of Jamey Wright at long relief, but with his poor performance this spring it looks as if Tejeda will be wearing a different uniform this year.

Abedi's Take:

I don't understand how a GM could make the same mistake every season and not attempt to fix it. Jon Daniels has done nothing for the Rangers since taking over as GM and I'm surprised he still has a job. The Rangers claim to be in a rebuilding state, but they aren't very far off from becoming a competitive ballclub once again. If they can get some reliable pitching, then they could contend for the AL West. However, I can't expect a GM, who has made mistake after mistake with the ballclub to suddenly run things correctly.
Category: MLB
Posted on: March 20, 2008 7:54 pm
 

2008 Los Angeles Angels Season Preview

Los Angeles Angels

2007 Record: 94-68, 1st Place in AL West, Lost to Boston in ALDS
Abedi's 2008 Projection: 93-69, 1st Place in AL West




Key Additions:
Key Departures:
Projected Lineup:
  1. 3B Chone Figgins
  2. LF Gary Matthews Jr.
  3. RF Vladimir Guerrero
  4. CF Torii Hunter
  5. LF Garret Anderson
  6. 2B Howie Kendrick
  7. 1B Casey Kotchman
  8. C Mike Napoli
  9. SS Erick Aybar
For the second straight offseason, the Angels have invested big money in a centerfielder. This time, they landed former Minnesota Twin, Torii Hunter. Hunter was brought in for the sole purpose of protecting Vladimir Guerrero in the lineup, which is something the Angels have lacked for years. The loss of Orlando Cabrera in the lineup is nothing significant. The Angels were deep at the shortstop position and were able to replace him easily. It's nice to see the team finally use some of the talent that they've been building in the farm system. Erick Aybar should fill in nicely, yet even if he struggles, the team can always turn to Maicer Izturis.The Angels lineup is very well balanced. The team has a good mix of speed, power and average. Coupled with their pitching, there is no doubt that this offense is good enough to get them back to the postseason.

The Bench
  • C